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Thursday, October 2, 2008

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#306 South Florida -13 1/2

4-Units (6:30 P.M. CST)

I realize that this may be a lot of points, but after careful consideration, and many hours of looking at this game, I see no reason that South Florida should not be able to cover this number. South Florida's opponents have went 11/11 on the season, and the Bulls have played and won 3 games on the road. They also beat a Kansas team that was ranked #13 in the nation at the time, at home on September 12th. Pittsburgh on the other hand played 3 home games to open the season, losing their home opener to a Bowling Green squad that now has a 2-2 record on the season. They trailed a 1/4 Syracuse team 24-13 midway through the 3rd quarter last week, before finally pulling away with a 34-24 win. Pittsburgh relies heavily on the run, with quarterback Bill Stull throwing for just 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on the season. This may play right into the strength of the Bulls, who have allowed just under 59 rushing yards a game on the season. The Pittsburgh defense has been decent this season, allowing just over 300 yards a game, but will have their hands full trying to stop a Bulls offense that is averaging 201 rushing yards and 263 passing yards a game. Looking at both teams average yard per rush, I notice that South Florida averages 4.5 yards per rush, while Pittsburgh averages 4.1 yards per rush. Defensively the Bulls are quite stingy giving up a low 2.1 yards per rush, while the Panthers give up a respectful 3.8 yards per rush. What happens if the Panthers are unable to run the ball? This may very well happen, and if it does, Bill Stull will be asked to move the ball through the air! Uh,,,this is the same Bill Stull that has thrown just 2 touchdowns, and is averaging a meager 5.8 yards per attempt on the season. Long story short----if Pittsburgh is not able to run the ball and falls behind, they will not be able to catch up with this Bulls team that will be able to move the ball with an experienced Matt Grothe behind center. more thing, Pittsburgh struggled with a small crowd of 27,000 last week at Syracuse. How will they handle a huge crowd of 58,000+ pumped up and ready for this Nationally Televised Espn game at South Florida? They won't!
Take the South Florida Bulls -13 1/2 for 4-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck


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